BY DAVID WARDEN
Day 11 Splits
Can James really do this?
On the positive side, he has 11 under his belt. Early reporting from Day 12 (spoiler alert!) is that James feels great early on Day 12. I can't help but think Day 13 and 14 are also likely, so why not 15, 16, 17...
On the negative side, the trend in the chart below could spell trouble. It is absolutely tending to take longer and longer each day to complete the event.
On the positive side, this trend is due to James taking long rests during the bike which he did not do for the first 7 days, and so the trend may be somewhat false. It will take a few more days for us to see if it levels out. Clearly, he can't continue to take longer and longer. It has to level out somewhere at under 16 hours each day.
It is interesting how I've made a full circle on how long James should be taking each day. Several months ago I recommended 16 hours, with long breaks/naps in the bike and run. James rejected this, saying he needed to do them in 14 to get to the next venue in time. I fell immediately into his camp on this. Now, I'm thinking I am a genius again (my mom was right!). 16 hours with long breaks is the new "norm" for the past 4 days. It wreaks havoc on his crew to get him each place in time, but I love it. Maybe I'll change my mind again if James is pulling off <13 hour Ironmen again in 2 weeks.
I'm again suspicious of power data. I can't accept a TSS score of 97.7, which is based on the power data of 108. I'll talk to James and make sure he is calibrating the unit correctly each day.
A nice, super long break in the run today. Honestly, if you just look at moving time, his times would be amazing.